1
Securitization Process
Securitization is the process of pooling various types of contractual debt and selling their related cash flows to third-party investors as securities. This process transforms illiquid individual loans into tradable securities.
Basic Securitization Structure
The securitization process involves several key participants and steps:
| Participant | Role | Key Functions |
|---|---|---|
| Originator | Creates original loans | Underwriting, initial funding |
| Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) | Bankruptcy-remote entity | Owns assets, issues securities |
| Servicer | Manages loan portfolio | Collections, reporting, modifications |
| Trustee | Represents investor interests | Oversight, enforcement |
| Rating Agencies | Assess credit quality | Rating assignment, monitoring |
Securitization Benefits
- For Originators: Access to funding, risk transfer, capital relief
- For Investors: Access to asset classes, diversification, yield enhancement
- For Borrowers: Increased credit availability, potentially lower rates
- For Markets: Improved liquidity, risk distribution, price discovery
True Sale vs. Secured Borrowing
For securitization to achieve its objectives, the asset transfer must be a "true sale" rather than a secured borrowing. This ensures bankruptcy remoteness and prevents consolidation with the originator's balance sheet.
2
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS)
RMBS are securities backed by residential mortgages, representing the largest segment of the ABS market. They can be divided into agency and non-agency RMBS based on the issuer and underlying mortgage characteristics.
Agency vs. Non-Agency RMBS
| Characteristic | Agency RMBS | Non-Agency RMBS |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Government agencies (Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac) | Private entities (banks, investment banks) |
| Credit Risk | Minimal (government backing) | Varies (depends on underlying mortgages) |
| Conforming Limits | Below agency limits | Above limits or non-conforming |
| Credit Enhancement | Government guarantee | Subordination, insurance, overcollateralization |
Mortgage Cash Flow Characteristics
Mortgage cash flows consist of scheduled principal and interest payments plus any prepayments by borrowers.
Monthly Payment = P × [r(1+r)^n] / [(1+r)^n - 1]
where: P = Principal, r = Monthly interest rate, n = Number of payments
where: P = Principal, r = Monthly interest rate, n = Number of payments
Prepayment Risk
Prepayment risk is the primary concern for RMBS investors:
- Contraction Risk: Faster prepayments when rates fall
- Extension Risk: Slower prepayments when rates rise
- Negative Convexity: Price appreciation limited by prepayments
Prepayment Modeling
Several models are used to predict mortgage prepayments:
PSA (Public Securities Association) Model
The PSA model assumes prepayments start at 0% CPR (Conditional Prepayment Rate) and increase linearly to 6% CPR after 30 months, then remain constant.
100% PSA: Standard assumption
150% PSA: 50% faster prepayments
50% PSA: 50% slower prepayments
100% PSA: Standard assumption
150% PSA: 50% faster prepayments
50% PSA: 50% slower prepayments
3
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
CMBS are backed by commercial real estate mortgages, including office buildings, retail properties, hotels, and multifamily housing. They differ significantly from RMBS in structure and risk characteristics.
CMBS Structure and Features
CMBS typically have the following characteristics:
- Non-Recourse Loans: Lender can only look to property for repayment
- Balloon Payments: Large principal payment due at maturity
- Call Protection: Borrowers face penalties for early repayment
- Property Diversification: Geographic and property type spread
| Feature | RMBS | CMBS |
|---|---|---|
| Prepayment Risk | High (borrower option) | Low (call protection) |
| Default Risk | Lower (recourse) | Higher (non-recourse) |
| Loan Size | Smaller, standardized | Larger, heterogeneous |
| Maturity | 15-30 years | 5-10 years with balloon |
CMBS Credit Enhancement
CMBS use various forms of credit enhancement to achieve investment-grade ratings:
Subordination Structure
CMBS are typically structured with multiple tranches:
- Senior Tranches (A): AAA-rated, first loss protection
- Mezzanine Tranches (B, C, D): Investment grade ratings
- Subordinate Tranches: Below investment grade
- First Loss Piece: Unrated, highest risk/return
4
Non-Mortgage Asset-Backed Securities
Non-mortgage ABS are backed by various types of consumer and commercial assets, each with distinct cash flow patterns and risk characteristics.
Major ABS Types
| ABS Type | Underlying Assets | Key Characteristics | Primary Risks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auto ABS | Auto loans and leases | Short maturity, amortizing | Credit risk, early payoff |
| Credit Card ABS | Credit card receivables | Revolving structure | Payment rates, charge-offs |
| Student Loan ABS | Education loans | Long maturity, deferment | Default, deferment rates |
| Equipment ABS | Equipment loans/leases | Secured by equipment | Residual value risk |
Auto Loan ABS
Auto ABS are among the most popular non-mortgage ABS due to their predictable cash flows and strong collateral backing.
Auto ABS Characteristics
- Monthly Payments: Principal and interest payments
- Prepayments: Lower than mortgages but still significant
- Charge-offs: Defaults result in loss after recovery from vehicle sale
- Seasoning: Default rates typically peak within first 12-18 months
Credit Card ABS
Credit card ABS have a unique structure due to the revolving nature of the underlying receivables.
Credit Card ABS Structure
Revolving Period: Principal collections are used to purchase new receivables
Amortization Period: Principal is passed through to investors
Key Metrics:
Amortization Period: Principal is passed through to investors
Key Metrics:
- Monthly Payment Rate (MPR): Monthly collections as % of receivables
- Charge-off Rate: Monthly defaults as % of receivables
- Yield: Interest and fee income as % of receivables
5
Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs)
CDOs are structured products backed by diversified pools of debt securities or other CDOs. They represent a more complex form of securitization with multiple levels of credit tranching.
CDO Types and Structure
| CDO Type | Underlying Assets | Management | Key Features |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash CDO | Bonds, loans, ABS | Actively managed | Asset manager discretion |
| Synthetic CDO | CDS on reference portfolio | Static or managed | No cash bond ownership |
| CDO² | Other CDO tranches | Various | Leveraged CDO exposure |
CDO Waterfall Structure
CDOs distribute cash flows through a prioritized "waterfall" structure:
Typical CDO Waterfall
Senior Tranches: AAA-rated, 70-80% of structure
Mezzanine Tranches: A to BB-rated, 15-25% of structure
Equity Tranche: Unrated, 3-12% of structure
Payment Priority:
Mezzanine Tranches: A to BB-rated, 15-25% of structure
Equity Tranche: Unrated, 3-12% of structure
Payment Priority:
- Senior fees and expenses
- Senior tranche interest
- Mezzanine tranche interest
- Senior tranche principal
- Mezzanine tranche principal
- Equity tranche distributions
CDO Risks
- Correlation Risk: Asset correlations may increase during stress
- Manager Risk: Dependence on asset manager's skill
- Complexity Risk: Difficult to analyze underlying exposures
- Liquidity Risk: Limited secondary market trading
- Model Risk: Valuation dependent on complex models
6
ABS Valuation and Risk Analysis
ABS valuation requires understanding cash flow dynamics, credit enhancement mechanisms, and various risk factors that affect performance.
Valuation Approaches
| Method | Application | Key Inputs | Limitations |
|---|---|---|---|
| Static Cash Flow | Simple structures | Prepayment assumptions | Doesn't capture optionality |
| Monte Carlo | Complex structures | Interest rate scenarios | Model and parameter risk |
| Option-Adjusted Spread | Securities with embedded options | Volatility assumptions | Complex calibration |
Key Risk Factors
Credit Enhancement Analysis
Evaluate the adequacy of credit enhancement:
- Subordination Level: Percentage of structure below each tranche
- Overcollateralization: Excess collateral value
- Reserve Accounts: Cash or liquid investments
- Third-Party Guarantees: Insurance or letters of credit
Stress Testing Scenarios
Common stress scenarios for ABS analysis:
- Base Case: Expected performance based on historical data
- Stress Case: Elevated default and slower prepayment rates
- Severe Stress: Extreme scenarios (2-3 standard deviations)
- Interest Rate Scenarios: Rising/falling rate environments
Credit Enhancement Level Formula
Credit Enhancement =
(Subordination + Overcollateralization + Reserve Accounts)
/ Pool Balance
Where:
Subordination = Junior tranches providing protection
Overcollateralization = Excess collateral value
Reserve Accounts = Cash reserves for losses
Pool Balance = Total asset pool value
Credit Enhancement =
(Subordination + Overcollateralization + Reserve Accounts)
/ Pool Balance
Where:
Subordination = Junior tranches providing protection
Overcollateralization = Excess collateral value
Reserve Accounts = Cash reserves for losses
Pool Balance = Total asset pool value